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	<title>Driftless Ramblings &#187; stocks</title>
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		<title>US Economic Outlook &amp; personal impact</title>
		<link>http://www.driftlessramblings.com/2008/01/24/us-economic-outlook-personal-impact/</link>
		<comments>http://www.driftlessramblings.com/2008/01/24/us-economic-outlook-personal-impact/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Thu, 24 Jan 2008 16:23:32 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>astoner</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Financial]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[economic]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[fed]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[rate cut]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[savings]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[stocks]]></category>

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		<description><![CDATA[I was originally just going to post this as comment to a post at Get Rich Slowly, but thought I would expand it out to a full blog post here. He makes no claim to be an economics expert, nor do I make such a claim. He just gets quite a few requests for his [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>I was originally just going to post this as comment to a <a href="http://www.getrichslowly.org/blog/2008/01/23/some-thoughts-on-the-stock-market-the-federal-funds-rate-and-economic-stimulus/">post</a> at <a href="http://getrichslowly.org/blog/">Get Rich Slowly</a>, but thought I would expand it out to a full blog post here.</p>
<p>He makes no claim to be an economics expert, nor do I make such a claim.  He just gets quite a few requests for his opinions on  national economic issues.</p>
<p>The three recent issues he talks about are:</p>
<ol>
<li>Stock Market Woes</li>
<li><a href="http://apnews1.iwon.com//article/20080124/D8UCARC81.html">Economic Stimulus Package </a></li>
<li>Fed Rate Cut</li>
</ol>
<p>I don&#8217;t worry too much about the stock market as really the only money I have in it is my retirement which I shouldn&#8217;t need for 25 years.  I do worry about how it could indirectly me effect me through my job and other areas.</p>
<p>My wife and I have already talked about what we might do with a refund check from the government.  The clear winner was save it.  Does this make us unpatriotic?  I don&#8217;t think so.  The government and media sends such mixed messages<img src="http://www.driftlessramblings.com/wp-content/uploads/2008/01/fotolia_4055171_s.jpg" alt="Financial Picture" align="right" border="2" height="168" hspace="10" vspace="10" width="251" /> on personal savings.  On an individual basis we&#8217;re encouraged to save, but on a national scale, it&#8217;s &#8216;SPEND SPEND SPEND&#8217;.  This is old news, but back in 2005 it was reported that the <a href="http://www.sfgate.com/cgi-bin/article.cgi?f=/c/a/2005/08/07/BUG5JE423K1.DTL">personal savings rate dropped to zero percent</a>.  I couldn&#8217;t find a citation for it but I think more recently than that I&#8217;ve heard the savings rate has gone negative on occasion.  I should note here that we may keep a little of the money out for personal fun money or something, but most will get saved.</p>
<p>I make no claim to understand the fed rate cut.  I can&#8217;t say if it&#8217;s good or bad.  I do worry about future economic issues that the rate cut and stimulus package will have.  I realize there are large issues at play here but suppose we get $1000 check from the government.  Where does that money come from?  In my mind it looks a lot like consumer debt that we, or our kids, will have to be paying back with interest.</p>
<p>I did sort of like the idea of the rate cut in that I might be able to refinance the mortgage at a lower rate although that&#8217;s questionable.  We are already in a fixed 30 year mortgage with a good rate.  If we can get a half to three quarters of a percentage point cut we&#8217;ll look into it further.  I do also believe there is a limit to how low the banks can/will even go on their rates, they need to cover their overhead.</p>
<p>I hadn&#8217;t thought about the aspect of the rate cut effecting my high yield saving account.  My <a href="https://www.fnbodirect.com/01d/html/en/">FNBO Direct</a> Account is currently yielding 5.05%, which I suppose will be going done soon.  That&#8217;s a bummer.</p>
<p>I do try to filter out most of the news on these issues.  Or at least not let them get to me.  Like J.D. said in the <a href="http://www.getrichslowly.org/blog/2008/01/23/some-thoughts-on-the-stock-market-the-federal-funds-rate-and-economic-stimulus/">original post</a> that got me going:</p>
<blockquote><p><strong>If you’re living within your means, avoiding common financial traps, and exercising sensible habits, you’ll be fine.</strong></p></blockquote>
<p>I agree with this statement.  I can&#8217;t say that I&#8217;m always true to it, but I do try.</p>
<p>Allen</p>
<p>&#8212;&#8211;  Added</p>
<p>I was continuing to read down my blog list and came across a good <a href="http://www.thesimpledollar.com/2008/01/23/the-fed-cuts-rates-what-does-that-mean-for-me/">post</a> on T<a href="http://www.thesimpledollar.com/">he Simple dollar</a> giving some of the ins and outs of the fed rate cut.   Be sure to read the comments as well, as they&#8217;re very insightful too.</p>
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